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          World Coal
        
        
          
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            June 2015
          
        
        
          
            Industry View
          
        
        
          Industry View
        
        
          O
        
        
          n 22 May, Reuters reported that
        
        
          French insurance company,
        
        
          AXA, had become the latest in a growing
        
        
          line of companies and not-for-profit
        
        
          organisations to announce divestment
        
        
          from the coal industry, saying it
        
        
          would pull out of investments worth
        
        
          €500 million (US$552.7 million). The AXA
        
        
          announcement followed similar news last
        
        
          month from the banks Credit Agricole,
        
        
          Bank of America and Societe Generale,
        
        
          all of which are either cutting back or
        
        
          stopping altogether their invesment in the
        
        
          coal industry.
        
        
          
            The coal divestment
          
        
        
          
            campaign
          
        
        
          Such news is music to the ears of the
        
        
          environmentalists behind the campaign
        
        
          to encourage institutions to divest from
        
        
          coal with the purpose of stopping the
        
        
          mining, processing and consumption of
        
        
          fuel. The environmentalists’ message is
        
        
          that if people stop investing in coal
        
        
          companies then the demand for coal will
        
        
          disappear.
        
        
          However, the logic as a means to an
        
        
          end for coal by the environmental activists
        
        
          is fundamentally flawed in many ways:
        
        
          n
        
        
          It is a purely emotive strategy that is
        
        
          trying to achieve their desired market
        
        
          and economic outcomes, without any
        
        
          market, economic or financial logic or
        
        
          basis.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It fails to recognise an individual’s or
        
        
          organisation’s freedom to choose their
        
        
          investment portfolio.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It has no concept of the investment
        
        
          market: shares sold at a market
        
        
          low, will be purchased by other
        
        
          investors for a longer-term gain, as is
        
        
          happening now.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It has no concept of the free market
        
        
          and the supply and demand market
        
        
          of the global coal industry.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It totally ignores predictions from
        
        
          recognised global energy institutions
        
        
          (both private and government) for an
        
        
          increase in coal demand for decades
        
        
          to come.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It fails to recognise that developing
        
        
          nations are indeed utilising – or plan
        
        
          to utilise – coal as a major fuel in their
        
        
          industrialised development.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It does not recognise that finance from
        
        
          multiple sources is continuing to flow
        
        
          into the global coal markets.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It does not recognise that new coal
        
        
          companies are being formed across the
        
        
          world each and every year.
        
        
          n
        
        
          It does not understand that coal is
        
        
          used for many other things, such as
        
        
          steel, alloys, cement, carbon fibre,
        
        
          activated carbon, silicon metal, plastics,
        
        
          nylon, soaps, aspirins, solvents, dyes –
        
        
          to name just a few.
        
        
          
            No tangible impact
          
        
        
          It is for the reasons above that the coal
        
        
          divestment campaign is having no tangible
        
        
          impact on the global coal business – and it
        
        
          won’t in the future. Environmental
        
        
          activists are claiming success, but the
        
        
          reality is that the coal market is typically
        
        
          cyclical. The coal market is currently in a
        
        
          downturn, which historically occurs every
        
        
          7 – 10 yr. So any reduction in coal pricing
        
        
          or share value has nothing to do with the
        
        
          divestment campaign. Currently coal
        
        
          exports/demand are still breaking records,
        
        
          coal pricing is increasing and there are over
        
        
          1000 coal-fired power plants being planned
        
        
          and constructed around the world. This
        
        
          defies the entire coal divestment campaign
        
        
          and any success claimed by the anti-coal
        
        
          activists.
        
        
          If not, then why haven’t all of the
        
        
          world’s largest environmental
        
        
          organisations divested?
        
        
          Coal divestment has been
        
        
          wholeheartedly acted on by some
        
        
          universities, churches and companies. One
        
        
          can only believe that the people voting to
        
        
          divest from coal now (at the very bottom of
        
        
          the market cycle) are smart enough to
        
        
          realise that they can gain some quick
        
        
          publicity: “free” publicity that they believe
        
        
          will help market their institutions. Coal
        
        
          divestment thus serves as merely a
        
        
          marketing tool for these institutions that
        
        
          need to sell their goods and services to the
        
        
          public.
        
        
          But are they doing the right thing as
        
        
          custodians of finances that belong to their
        
        
          organisations and to other people? Are
        
        
          they taking a short-term gain for a
        
        
          longer-term loss just for a symbolic action?
        
        
          Are green activist companies profiteering
        
        
          from the coal divestment campaign at the
        
        
          expense of these divesting universities,
        
        
          churches and companies?
        
        
          
            A most expensive
          
        
        
          
            marketing gimic
          
        
        
          Institutions that have engaged in coal
        
        
          divestment have stated that they are
        
        
          incurring multi-million dollar financial
        
        
          losses by doing so. Investment experts are
        
        
          saying it could run into hundreds of
        
        
          millions of dollars in the long term. After
        
        
          their much publicised announcements of
        
        
          their symbolic coal divestment, what then?
        
        
          The publicity is short lived, perhaps
        
        
          14 days on average, yet the financial loss
        
        
          will be felt for a much longer duration.
        
        
          Considering that the world’s demand and
        
        
          consumption of coal is still growing and
        
        
          the entire coal divestment campaign will
        
        
          not bring about the end of coal, it can only
        
        
          be viewed as a marketing tool: the world’s
        
        
          most expensive marketing tool.
        
        
          
            Author
          
        
        
          Russell Taylor has over 20 yr of experience in the
        
        
          coal mining industry as a mining engineer, project
        
        
          director and mining executive. Most recently, he
        
        
          was Executive Vice President and Project Director
        
        
          at Reliance Coal Resources in India.
        
        
          
            THE MOST EXPENSIVE MARKETING GIMIC
          
        
        
          Russell Taylor